by Patrick Burns.
Abstract: We report on a study of the ability of analysts to distinguish an actual price series of an equity from random alternatives. Virtually all of the statistical tests on the results support the hypothesis that no skill was exhibited in selecting the correct response. Many of the analysts were extremely over-confident about their ability to select correct answers. The one area where it seems skill might have been exhibited is in the selection of correct answers that happened to be far from the random choices.
jun 25, 26
The email address patrick@burns-stat.com was out of action for a few hours today. It is back now.
jun 25, 26
Customization in R. Basics Several features benefit from being customizable — either because of personal taste or specifics of the environment. The way R implements this flexibility is through the [...]
jun 25, 26
How to control the limits of data values in R plots. R has multiple graphics engines. Here we will talk about the base graphics and the ggplot2 package. We’ll create [...]


