by Patrick Burns.
Abstract: We report on a study of the ability of analysts to distinguish an actual price series of an equity from random alternatives. Virtually all of the statistical tests on the results support the hypothesis that no skill was exhibited in selecting the correct response. Many of the analysts were extremely over-confident about their ability to select correct answers. The one area where it seems skill might have been exhibited is in the selection of correct answers that happened to be far from the random choices.
jun 25, 26
The function in question is scriptSearch. I’m not much for superlatives — ”most” and ”best” imply one dimension, but we live in a multi-dimensional world. I’m making an exception. The [...]
jun 25, 26
I recently gave a talk at the R in Finance conference in which I introduced the marketAgent package for R. Here is the source for the package if you'd like [...]
jun 25, 26
Executive summary Surprisingly good. And it’s not like my expectations were especially low. Structure There are 20 chapters. I mostly like the chapters and their order. Hadley breaks the 20 chapters [...]